Some predictions of the first order exponential time series


Biljana Č. Popović




Time series with non-Gaussian marginal distribution are of great interest nowdays. The time series with exponential marginal distribution are considered in this paper. The method of linear prediction is applies ted to the exponential moving average EMA(1) and the exponential autoregressive EAR(1) time series. Some difficulties of inverting the matrix of the system of linear equations for solving the unknown coefficients of the prediction are presented.